The “One, Big, Beautiful Bill” and the implications for corporate taxpayers and the clean energy industry

Transferable tax credit pricing has increased in the latter half of 2024, particularly for large, "clean" ITCs

The increase in pricing reflects a seasonal supply-demand imbalance caused by the following:

• Corporate taxpayers have a firm and clear estimate of their 2024 tax liability, and many new tax credit buyers have stepped into the market. They are now scrambling to find credits to offset that liability
• The supply of 2024 credits, particularly large credit volumes, have dwindled given the amount of transaction activity throughout the year

We expect pricing for 2024 credits to remain inflated through the end of the year and into 2025. This intra year supply-demand imbalance was also observed in 2023.

While pricing has increased across all credit types, the most marked increase has been with large, straightforward ITC projects. For most of the year, these opportunities traded in the $0.92 to $0.93 range, but as of Q3 we are seeing buyers bid $0.94 or even $0.95. The spread between ITCs and production credits (§45 PTCs and §45X AMPCs) has narrowed considerably.

Sellers have started marketing high quality 2025 tax credit opportunities and are actively seeking buyer commitments. We believe that buyers that are willing to shop now for 2025 credits will be able to access a wide range of credit opportunities, with less competition.

We have also observed sellers running competitive RFP processes, and are receiving multiple bids – in some cases, upwards of ten qualified bids. Examples of projects that have received multiple bids with high valuations:

• $130M solar ITC from an investment grade seller, exempt from prevailing wage requirements
• $150M solar and storage ITC from a reputable seller with a very strong balance sheet. No step-up in cost basis and exempt from PWA requirements

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Corporate buyers should develop their 2025 tax credit acquisition strategy now to avoid the late-year credit frenzy

Reunion is seeing an increasing number of high quality sellers marketing their 2025 projects now and placing tight deadlines on accepting bids. Even though pricing may not be optimal due to a lower number of buyers ready to look at 2025 credits, these sellers want to put a tax credit purchase agreement in place so they can obtain a bridge loan against their tax credit commitments.

Buyers who are able to commit to 2025 credits now will get access to a wider selection of project opportunities, and potentially better pricing, as only a subset of buyers have enough visibility into 2025 tax liabilities to be able to commit early. They’ll also avoid “chasing credits” in the latter-half of 2025.

Buyers who are able to execute tax credit transfer agreements now have a significant advantage

For buyers with uncertainty around their tax liability, one option is to initially target a purchase volume that is significantly lower (e.g., 50%) than projected tax liability. The buyer can purchase additional tranches of credits later in 2025 as their tax position becomes more clear. (We previously discussed the strategy of topping up on credits.) Purchasing tranches of credits to “top up” also carry the benefit of less competition for smaller credits, resulting in potentially better pricing.

Buyers who are willing to go slightly out of pocket will also be in an advantageous position

A majority of corporate tax credit buyers do not want to go “out of pocket” to acquire clean energy tax credits, preferring to align tax credit purchases with their quarterly estimated tax payments. Typically, the internal approval process for a cost savings effort (e.g., paying a clean energy developer $95M in lieu of paying $100M to the IRS, at approximately the same time) is easier than requesting an out-of-pocket investment to buy credits that generate tax savings in the future. 

Buyers who are willing to go slightly “out of pocket” — for example, willingness to pay for an ITC in Q1, Q2, or even Q3 — will enjoy a less competition, and a larger discount to compensate for timing of payment. These out-of-pocket investments can present attractive economics to buyers, with IRRs over 20%. 

We can see this in a sample $100M ITC purchase from a project that will be placed in service in Q1 2024. Let’s assume a buyer and seller execute a tax credit transfer agreement in Q4 2024 (11/15/2024) for a utility-scale solar project that is expected to be placed in service in Q1 2024 (3/15/2024). If the buyer agrees to pay for the credits as soon as the project is placed in service, they could reasonably expect to pay $0.93, as they will essentially be “pre-paying” their taxes in Q1 and will get the benefit of the tax offset during their quarterly estimated tax payment dates.

Even though the buyer goes out of pocket in this scenario, the investment generates an attractive 20.3% IRR and $7.0M tax savings.

Consider smaller projects for better economics 

Buyers and sellers want as few counterparties as possible. If a buyer has a $160M tax credit appetite, they want to find one project as close to a $160M as possible.  

Focusing on a single, large transaction, however, can present challenging economics because as we noted, there are many large taxpayers that all want to find a large, straightforward transaction.

Simply moving from a single transaction of $100M to three transactions of $30M can meaningfully improve deal economics without necessarily adding undue risk or complexity. Through Q3 2024, for example, smaller 45X AMPCs deals priced approximately a cent below larger 45X AMPCs deals.

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Set expectations with internal stakeholders on pricing dynamics for 2024 credits

Companies looking to pursue sizable 2024 ITC opportunities should expect credits to trade at a premium. Buyers should set expectations to bid $0.94, $0.95, or even slightly higher to win the most coveted opportunities. 

Additional 2024 credit opportunities will arise as the year draws to a close, and we also predict that additional opportunities will arise shortly after January 1. What we observed last year is that a number of tax credit sellers were not sure if their ITCs would be placed in service in the current year or the subsequent year, so they waited until they had certainty on the tax credit year (i.e., after January 1) to market their credits. That said, we predict that a large number of tax credit buyers will continue to compete over these 2024 credits, particularly for larger opportunities.

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Companies should start evaluating 2025 clean energy tax credit investments now

Corporations who are comfortable with their 2025 tax liability and are willing to go a bit out of pocket should begin shifting their attention to 2025. Q4 2024 is a good time to lock in some of the most attractive 2025 deals, particularly for larger ITC, PTC, and AMPC opportunities.

Our transactions team would be happy to assemble indicative cashflow scenarios. Contact us today.

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San Francisco, Sept. 24, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Reunion, a leading clean energy finance company, today announced that it has facilitated the purchase and sale of over $1.6 billion in clean energy tax credits through Q3 2024.

Drawing on decades of clean energy financing experience, Reunion has transacted across a range of transferable tax credits – §48 ITCs, §45 PTCs, §45X AMPCs, and §30C alternative fuel infrastructure credits – and technologies. "Our team has facilitated dozens of tax credit transfers involving established clean energy technologies, like solar, wind, and battery storage, as well as emerging technologies, like biogas, fuel cells, and EV charging," said Reunion's president, Billy Lee. "Advanced manufacturing and critical minerals, however, have been the largest areas of growth for us. We've executed §45X transactions from $10M to well over $500M."

Reunion recently published a study that estimates the size of the transferable tax credit market, and quantified the total credit market by monetization strategy (transfer, direct pay, retention and transfer). We estimate that over $45B in clean energy tax credits will be generated in 2024. Of this total, Reunion estimates that approximately $21B to $24B will be transferred – a significant increase from the $5B to $7B in transfers Reunion estimated in 2023.

"At the end of 2023, many buyers were hesitant to be 'first to market.' A year later, however, the vast majority of corporate finance and tax leaders are aware of clean energy tax credits, and we are seeing significant demand for high quality opportunities," said Reunion's CEO, Andy Moon. "We are thrilled to see corporations across many industries invest in transferable tax credits."

The influx of new buyers and sellers has created a fast-moving market. When working with Reunion, typical transaction timelines have fallen from over 90 days in Q4 2023, to less than 45 days in Q3 2024.

About Reunion

Reunion facilitates the purchase and sale of clean energy tax credits, and has worked with major corporations to purchase over $1.6 billion in tax credits from solar, wind, storage, advanced manufacturing, and other clean energy projects. Our curated marketplace features billions of dollars in high quality tax credit opportunities, and our team of clean energy finance veterans supports buyers and sellers through each step of the transaction process, with a focus on commercial negotiation, due diligence and risk mitigation.

To learn more, visit www.reunioninfra.com and download our comprehensive handbook on clean energy tax credit transfers.

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Recording

Overview

Jordan Tamchin, Executive Vice President and leader of the Tax Insurance Practice at CAC Specialty, joined Reunion's transactions team for a 60-minute conversation covering recent market developments in tax credit insurance and a lively discussion about unique tax insurance solutions that have emerged in 2024.

Topics

• Tax credit insurance at a glance: Typical covered tax positions and exclusions
• Market snapshot: Depth of insurance market, pricing considerations, underwriting standards
• Emerging issues and trends: Coverage of step ups, PWA underwriting, bonus credit adder coverage, buy side vs sell side policies, typical limits of liability, audit experience
• Audience Q&A

Speakers

Jordan Tamchin is Executive Vice President and leader of the Tax Insurance Practice at CAC Specialty, where he specializes in delivering innovative and unique insurance solutions for the most complex tax risks across a variety of tax credit and tax equity deals.

Andy Moon and Billy Lee are the co-founders of Reunion and work closely with Fortune 500 corporations and clean energy companies to buy and sell clean energy tax credits. Andy and Billy have led hundreds of clean energy financings since 2006, including some of the first solar transactions with institutions such as US Bank, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, D.E. Shaw, and others.

Executive summary

Over the past 12 months, the rate of growth in the transferable tax credit market has continually surprised industry observers and participants.

Reunion has analyzed how large the transferable tax credit market could be on an annual basis, as well as the size of various monetization strategies – tax equity, direct pay, retention, and transfer.

We estimate that the total size of the transferable tax credit market in 2024 will range from $45B to $50B, which will be broken into four key monetization strategies:

• Transfer: $21B to $24B
• Tax equity: $21B to $23B
• Retain: $1.8B to $2.4B
• Direct pay: $0.8B to $1.0B

Over a nine-year period, Reunion estimates the total volume of clean energy tax credits to steadily climb, surpassing $90B in 2030.

Of the annual total, we expect approximately 50% to 60% to be monetized through transferability.

We ran our estimate through 2032 for two reasons. Under the §45X credit, manufactured components are subject to a four-year phase-down beginning in 2030 (75%, 50%, 25%, 0%). Therefore, manufactured components will no longer be eligible for the §45X after 2032. Also, 2032 is the first potential "applicable year" for the four-year phase-out of the §45Y PTC and §48E ITC.

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Jump to a section

• Total transfer market: How many clean energy tax credits will be transfer in 2024?
• Tax equity: How many clean energy tax credits that are eligible for transferability will be monetized through traditional tax equity in 2024?‍
• Direct pay: How many clean energy tax credits that are eligible for transferability will be monetized through direct pay in 2024?‍
• Retain: How many clean energy tax credits that are eligible for transferability will be monetized directly by the developer, manufacturer, or refiner in 2024?‍
• Transfer: How many clean energy tax credits will be transferred in 2024?
• Stranded: How many clean energy tax credits will not be monetized in 2024?
• Looking ahead: How many clean energy tax credits will be eligible for transfer through 2032? Of these, how many will be transferred?

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TOTAL TRANSFER MARKET: $45B - $50B

How many clean energy tax credits will be eligible for transfer in 2024?

To estimate the total size of the market for transferable tax credits in 2024, we reviewed several existing estimates by industry observers:

• Congressional Budget Office
• Credit Suisse
• Evercore ISI
• Goldman Sachs
• University of Pennsylvania, Penn Wharton Budget Model

Our analysis identified two key trends:‍

• ‍A significant increase in estimates following the passage of the IRA: Before August 2022, estimates of the volume of tax credits that would be generated following the passage of the IRA were clustered below $20B. After the IRA became law, estimates markedly increased
• ‍Clustering between $45B and $50B: More recent estimates have fallen between $45B and $50B

$19B | University of Pennsylvania, Penn Wharton Budget Model (July 2022)

Shortly before the passage of the IRA, the University of Pennsylvania's Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM) provided a preliminary estimate of the budgetary effects of the legislation from 2022 through 2031.

The report pegged the ten-year cost of the IRA's "climate and energy" provisions at $369B and the 2024 cost at $35.7B. Importantly, PWBM's climate and energy bucket includes several sets of provisions:

• Tax rebates and credits to lower energy costs for households
• Tax credits, research, loans, and grants to increase domestic manufacturing capacity for wind turbines, solar panels, batteries, and other essential components of clean energy production and storage
• Tax credits to reduce carbon emissions
• Programs to reduce the environmental impact of agriculture
• A new fee on methane emissions

To isolate transferable tax credits, we can pull percentages for the various climate and energy provisions from an updated PWBM analysis (which we'll discuss in further detail): 

The resulting cost of transferable tax credits for 2024, then, is 54% of $35.7B, or $19.2B. If we apply the same percentage to the ten-year window, we arrive at a total cost of $198.3B for transferable tax credits.

$11B | Congressional Budget Office (August 2022)

In an August 2022 report, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated the annualized budgetary effects of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) from 2022 to 2031. The report covers the entirety of the IRA, although transferable tax credits are broken out by their IRA section. IRA section 13101, for example, extends the §45 PTC.

The CBO estimates the ten-year budgetary impacts of transferable tax credits at $209.8B, $10.5B of which is in 2024.

$20B | University of Pennsylvania, Penn Wharton Budget Model (August 2022)

Once the Senate had passed the IRA, PWBM updated their July 2022 estimated budgetary effects of the IRA. The analysis, from August 2022, resulted in a slight uptick in cost across the board.

To estimate the size of the transferable tax credit market, we have to again scale the "climate and energy" provisions by 54%. The result is $20.0B for 2024 and $206.8B for 2022 through 2031.

$49B | Credit Suisse (November 2022)

Credit Suisse produced one of several analyses that argued initial estimates of the size of the IRA were low – perhaps as much as 3x too low:

"Climate spending will likely be significantly higher than the headline estimate. Roughly two-thirds of the baseline spending is allocated to provisions where the potential federal credit/incentive is uncapped. Our assessment of potential demand for clean electricity production tax credits (PTC) and investment tax credits (ITC), carbon capture, clean hydrogen, and renewable/battery manufacturing credits shows federal spending could reach >3x the cost estimates assigned for these key provisions. The advanced manufacturing provision alone could cost US$250 billion given the credits across solar, wind, and battery supply chains."

Credit Suisse estimated the ten-year cost of transferable tax credits at $528B and the 2024 cost at $49B.

Wood Mackenzie similarly argued that the long-term cost of the IRA would greatly surpass initial estimates. However, Wood Mackenzie focused their analysis on ITCs and PTCs from solar, wind, and storage, so we omitted it from our review.

$33B | Goldman Sachs (March 2023)

Goldman Sachs published an in-depth analysis of the costs and benefits of the IRA and, like Credit Suisse, concluded that early estimates were drastically low. Goldman Sachs estimated the IRA will cost the U.S. government $1.2T by 2032, with some incentives continuing into 2040.

To arrive at an estimate for the 2024 tax credit market, we should remove EVs and buildings from Goldman's estimate because these credits apply largely to individuals and will not be transferred. In exhibit 18, Goldman Sachs estimates that EV- and biofuel-related IRA programs will cost the U.S. government $393B and $43B, respectively.

If we apply this ratio – 90.1% EVs, 9.9% biofuels – to the combined 2024 estimate for “EVs and biofuels,” we remove approximately $9B of cost from 2024, resulting in an annual total of approximately $35B. Buildings further reduce this estimate by approximately $2B, resulting in an 2024 cost of approximately $33B.

Although Goldman Sachs did not publish a year-by-year estimate for transferable tax credits, they assembled a chart of annual IRA spending:

$48B | University of Pennsylvania, Penn Wharton Budget Model (April 2023)

Shortly after the Goldman Sachs report, PWBM released a third estimate of the budgetary effects of the IRA. Importantly, GWBM relied heavily on the Goldman Sachs report: "In preparing these updated estimates, PWBM consulted with private sector experts to understand the likely growth in utilization by climate and energy provision. We are especially grateful to the energy team at Goldman Sachs who helped break down each area and further aided our efforts to produce a budget score against the pre-IRA baseline."

PWBM estimated the total cost of the IRA's energy and climate provisions from 2023 through 2032 – a new ten-year window – at $1.0B. If we isolate transferable tax credits, we arrive at a total of $561B.

We can allocate the $561B total over the ten-year window, assuming a similar annual allocation percentage from PWBM's earlier estimates. Under this assumption, we get $48.3B for 2024.

$47B | Evercore ISI (April 2024)

“Drawing on projections from the U.S. Treasury,” Evercore ISI estimated that the “total addressable market of potentially transferable energy tax credits is $47 billion in 2024.” Evercore notes that “not all these credits will ultimately be transferred” – a key detail we'll explore below.

Viewing the estimates through time

When viewed through time, the eight estimates we've examined exhibit two trends:

• A significant increase in estimates following the passage of the IRA: Before August 2022, estimates of the volume of tax credits that would be generated following the passage of the IRA were clustered below $20B. After the IRA became law, estimates markedly increased
• ‍Clustering between $45B and $50B: More recent estimates have tended to fall in the high $40B range

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TAX EQUITY: $21B - $23B

How many clean energy tax credits that are eligible for transferability will be monetized through traditional tax equity in 2024?

With the passage of the IRA, clean energy tax credits can be monetized through transferability, traditional tax equity, or "hybrid" structures involving some mix of both. To properly size the transferability market, then, we need to remove "pure play" tax equity.

Although precise tax equity transaction volumes are not publicly available, Norton Rose Fulbright provides reliable snapshots in their annual cost of capital webinar. In the 2024 cost of capital webinar, for example, Jack Cargas of Bank of America and Rubiao Song of JPMorgan estimated the 2023 tax equity market at $20B to $22B: 

• Jack Cargas, Bank of America: "We estimate that the volume was $20 to $21 billion [in 2023], roughly in the same ballpark as the year before."
• Rubiao Song, JPMorgan: "We saw a slight uptick in tax equity volume in 2023 compared to 2022.  We put the traditional tax equity at $21 to $22 billion in 2023."

We can create a ten-year series by reviewing the transcripts from prior years – 2023, 2022, 2021, etc.

When estimating 2024 tax equity volumes, Rubiao Song said, "If the economy remains strong, we could see tax equity volume growing by single-to-low double digits."

Despite uncertainty around the potential impacts of Basel III requirements on tax equity investments, Reunion estimates that $21B to $23B of tax credits will be monetized through traditional tax equity in 2024.

Importantly, the amount of tax equity investment is not directly representative of tax credit generation, as some amount of investment is associated with benefits of depreciation and the rights to future project cash flows. However, for purposes of this simplified analysis, we have ignored this distinction and will address it in future discussions.

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DIRECT PAY: $0.8B - $1.0B

How many clean energy tax credits that are eligible for transferability will be monetized through direct pay in 2024?

Of the approximately $47B in 2024 tax credits that are eligible for transfer, some will be monetized through direct pay. As Evercore notes in their report, "For a subset of credits" – 45X, 45Q, and 45V – "companies may take advantage of a time-limited provision through which they can receive the credit as a direct payment from the [IRS] after filing their tax returns." 

Evercore goes on to emphasize that, "Figures on project registrations released by the U.S. Treasury suggest that even in cases where the seller would have the option for 'direct pay' after filing tax returns, the vast majority are still opting for transfer."

As the Treasury stated, "More than 98% of...facilities or projects are pursuing transferability."

Based on Reunion's 2024 transactions data, which covers nearly $5B in verified transactions, Reunion estimates $0.8B to $1.0B in 2024 tax credits will be monetized through direct pay in 2024. (We can perform a simple check on our estimate by scaling our $47B total market value by 98%, which results in $0.94B.)

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RETAIN: $1.8B - $2.4B

How many clean energy tax credits that are eligible for transferability will be monetized directly by the developer, manufacturer, or refiner in 2024?

Based on SEC filings from large, publicly traded utilities, Reunion estimates that 4% to 5% of 2024 tax credits will be retained by developers, manufacturers, and refiners to offset their own tax liability. They will not, in other words, transfer all of their IRA tax credits.

In their 2023 10-K, for example, Duke Energy states, "...due to its existing tax attributes and projected tax credits to be generated related to the IRA, Duke Energy does not expect to be a significant federal cash taxpayer until around 2030."

Reunion's estimates that $1.8B to $2.4B of clean energy tax credits will be retained by their originator.

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TRANSFER: $21B - $24B

How many clean energy tax credits will ultimately be transferred in 2024?

In the simplest sense, tax credit transfers become the "plug" in our equation: [total tax credit market] = [tax equity] + [direct pay] + [retention] + [transfer].

Recognizing that we have provided estimated ranges for each value, we can create a "high" and "low" case resulting in an estimated transfer market range of $21B to $24B.

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"STRANDED" CREDITS

How many clean energy tax credits will fail to be monetized, irrespective of strategy?

Although we've focused our anaylsis on accretive monetization strategies, it's worth noting the existence of a fifth bucket: "stranded" credits. These are credits that are generated but, for whatever reason, not monetized through tax equity, transferability, direct pay, or retention.

Reunion has seen stranded credits first-hand with smaller developers who were unable to successfully transfer 2023 credits with values in the low hundreds of thousands. We also assume some stranded credits will emerge from developers in financial distress.

We believe stranded credits constitute a de minimis and hard-to-estimate segment of the transferability market and have excluded them from our analysis.

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LOOKING AHEAD

How many clean energy tax credits will be eligible for transfer through the early 2030s? Of these, how many will be transferred?

We expect the overall tax credit market to grow by an average of 10% to 15% per year, peaking in 2030. The highest percentage of this growth will occur in transferability (versus other monetization strategies). We estimate that the total tax credit market will approach $700B through 2032, over $350B of which will be monetized through transferability.

We ran our estimate through 2032 for two reasons. Under the §45X credit, manufactured components are subject to a four-year phase-down beginning in 2030 (75%, 50%, 25%, 0%). Therefore, manufactured components will no longer be eligible for the §45X after 2032. Also, 2032 is the first potential "applicable year" for the four-year phase-out of the §45Y PTC and §48E ITC.

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Further updates to come

Reunion will update and refine this analysis as we facilitate more transactions and further data comes to market. If your team has data to share on an anonymized basis, we would welcome the opportunity to connect.

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Jordan Tamchin, Executive Vice President and leader of the Tax Insurance Practice at CAC Specialty, will join Reunion's transactions team for a 60-minute workshop covering recent market developments in tax credit insurance and a lively discussion about unique tax insurance solutions that have emerged in 2024.

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Register

Instructions for joining the webinar will be sent once you have registered. If you have any questions, please contact Maria Verbaite.

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We will make a recording available for those who cannot attend the webinar live.

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Topics

• Tax credit insurance at a glance: Typical covered tax positions and exclusions
• Market snapshot: Depth of insurance market, pricing considerations, underwriting standards
• Emerging issues and trends: Coverage of step ups, PWA underwriting, bonus credit adder coverage, buy side vs sell side policies, typical limits of liability, audit experience
• Audience Q&A

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Speakers

Jordan Tamchin – CAC Specialty

Jordan Tamchin is Executive Vice President and leader of the Tax Insurance Practice at CAC Specialty, where he specializes in delivering innovative and unique insurance solutions for the most complex tax risks across a variety of tax credit and tax equity deals.

Andy Moon and Billy Lee – Reunion

Andy Moon and Billy Lee are the co-founders of Reunion and work closely with Fortune 500 corporations and clean energy companies to buy and sell clean energy tax credits.

Andy and Billy have led hundreds of clean energy financings since 2006, including some of the first solar transactions with institutions such as US Bank, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, D.E. Shaw, and others. 

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Questions welcome

We want our office hours to be interactive, so please bring any questions you have, whether related to current market conditions, pricing, or commercial terms.

You're welcome to ask questions beforehand.

Executive summary

Transferable tax credits are sold at a discount to face value, providing attractive financial benefits to corporate investors. They are not without risk, however, and tax credit buyers should have a clear sense of how to identify, track, and mitigate relevant risks.

At the same time, clean energy developers should understand the scope of due diligence during a tax credit transfer.

This due diligence checklist and documentation guide gives tax credit buyers, sellers, and their respective advisors a set of shared expectations on the required analysis and documentation for §48 investment tax credits.

To download a PDF version of this guide, please visit our resources page.

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Jump to a due diligence category

• Transaction overview
• Major deal participants
• Seller diligence
• Qualification
• Structure
• Recapture (qualified energy facility, change in ownership)
• Prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements (compliance, exemption)
• Bonus credits (domestic content, energy community, low-income community)
• Tax credit insurance

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Transaction overview

The transaction overview should include an overall description of the transaction, including:

• Brief description of sponsor
• Technology
• Project size in MW AC, location, and description
• Placed in service (PIS) date
• Eligible cost basis
• Resulting ITC credit amount
• Description of tax credit percentage, including bonus credit adders and compliance with, or exemption from, prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements
• Details on how the project is financed

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Major deal participants

Tax credit transfers involve a range of stakeholders on the buy- and sell-sides, all of whom should be memorialized for reference during the five-year recapture period.

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Seller diligence

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Qualification

Buyer should validate that the Project qualifies for the §48 tax credit. Buyer should ensure that the Project qualifies as energy property, the proper cost basis is used, and that the Project was placed in service in the appropriate tax year.

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Structure

Buyer should validate that Seller is an eligible transferor, and that the Seller’s underlying legal structure will be respected by the IRS.

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Recapture

To avoid recapture, a §48 ITC requires that (1) the property remains qualified energy property for five years and (2) there is no change in ownership of the property for five years. If a project fails to meet these requirements, the IRS will recapture the unvested portion of the ITC.

The ITC vests equally over a five-year period, meaning 20% of the total ITCs claimed will vest on each anniversary of Project’s placed in service date.

Qualified energy facility

A property can cease to be qualified energy property when an asset is disposed of, or otherwise ceases to be investment credit property to the eligible taxpayer during the recapture period. For example, the asset is:

• Destroyed and not rebuilt and placed back in service
• Abandoned
• Repurposed to sell something other than electricity derived from the qualified generation asset

Key risk mitigation measures include sufficient property and casualty insurance, adequate site control and interconnection rights, and identification of alternatives in the event of an Offtaker default.

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Change in ownership

A change in ownership can occur if the project owner transfers its ownership of the facility during the five-year recapture period. If a lender has a collateral interest in the project company, a foreclosure can trigger recapture due to change in ownership.

Key risk mitigation measures include a forbearance agreement with lenders, structuring the debt in a way that foreclosure will not trigger a recapture, and indemnification from the seller.

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Prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements

Buyer should validate that the Project is exempt from, or compliant with, prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements. Prevailing wage rules require that certain workers are paid a minimum prevailing wages specified by the U.S. Department of Labor during the construction of a facility or property, and during alteration or repair of a facility or property for a certain number of years after the project is placed in service.

Buyers should require proper documentation that the correct wage was paid.

Exempt from PWA

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Compliant with PWA

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Bonus credits

If a Project claims a bonus credit adder (domestic content, low-income community, or energy community), the Buyer should substantiate that the Project qualifies for the relevant bonus credit adder.

Domestic content

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Energy community

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Low-income community

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Tax credit insurance

If a Seller is unable to offer an indemnity from a creditworthy guarantor, tax credit insurance is commonly purchased to provide additional risk mitigation in the event of a disallowance or recapture of credits.

There is a robust market for tax credit insurance, which has been utilized on tax equity transactions for over a decade. Tax Credit Insurance Brokers can help place insurance with a wide selection of investment-grade insurance carriers.

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Download Reunion's Section 48 ITC due diligence guide

To download Reunion's Section 48 due diligence guide in PDF format, please visit our resources page.

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